Early Start
Hurricane
season began June 1st and by all accounts it is expected to be an
active season. Is the season about to
get underway? It seems the computers
think so. The vast majority of the
computers have been indicating that something could form in the Gulf of Mexico
this week.
There
was an area of disturbed weather extending from the Yucatan Peninsula northeast
into the Gulf of Mexico Monday evening. Moisture
was streaming north from the western Caribbean Sea. No indications of development have been noted
over the past 24 hours.
However,
computer models suggest that thunderstorm activity will be on the increase today
into Wednesday. The latest Regional
Precision Model (RPM) has a circulation forming in the Gulf north of Yucatan on
Wednesday. The system would then move
north curving northeast into the Apalachee Bay on Thursday.
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| The 72-forecast valid Thursday evening at 00z June 7, 2013. Click on the image for a larger view. Image Credit: WSI. |
The
above model has the system coming onshore late Thursday afternoon and moving
northeast toward coastal South Carolina.
That is where the heaviest rainfall would occur. It could be breezy for the coastal sections,
but the system is not expected to be very strong.
