Karen,
the eleventh tropical storm of the season, dissipated along the central Gulf
coast Sunday morning. This was a relief
to that area of the country, but was not expected from the forecast three days
before. The Federal Emergency Management
Agency (FEMA) had already begun to recall personnel on furlough from the
government shutdown. Keep in mind that
meteorologists at the National Weather Service (NWS) and National Hurricane
Center (NHC) were already on the job, just not getting paid.
So
what happened?
The
tropical storm formed Thursday morning north of the Yucatan Peninsula and in my
last post you can see what the track models were suggesting. However, the storm was already being affected
by a southwesterly shear aloft and dry air covered much of the western Gulf of
Mexico.
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The visible satellite picture of Karen for 21z Thursday, October 3. 2013. The center of circulation is north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Notice the asymmetry in the storm with all of the thunderstorms east of the center. Dry air west of the center kept storms to a minimum. Click on the image for a larger view. Image Credit: UCAR. |