The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its latest outlook for the coming winter this morning. This year’s forecast is challenging as there are few climate signals that are strong enough to give clues as to what to expect. Thus the outlook is based more on trends.
Climate outlooks are probabilistic forecasts meaning that they give you information about the chances of seeing departures from the average. It cannot tell you when or where snowstorms will occur. The outlook is designed to tell you what the average conditions will be.
This year warmer than normal conditions are expected for the Southwest, the South-Central U.S., parts of the Southeast, New England and western Alaska. The Northern Plains and the Alaskan Panhandle are expected to see colder than normal conditions. South Carolina has an equal chance of seeing warmer, near normal, or colder conditions as there are no clues to guide the forecast.
|The temperature outlook for the 2013-14 winter. Click on the image for a larger view. Image Credit: NOAA.|