|Visible image at 6:45 p.m. EDT on May 27. Image Credit: NEDIS.|
The system is now a tropical depression and is likely to make a very slow turn to the northeast over southern Georgia. This will likely take 12 to 24 hours which means that there will be a great deal of rain for some areas. Rains are already causing some flood issues for northeast Florida.
|60 hr rainfall forecast. Image Credit: WSI|
Flooding will be the biggest issue from Beryl now that is has weakened. This is especially true since it is expected to move very slowly for the next 24 hours.
|Image Credit: USDA.|
It will not help everyone in the drought area. The map to the right is the latest drought monitor as of last week. Click on the image for a larger view. The area from Albany, GA to Aiken, SC will likely remain in an exceptional drought (worst stage).
Eighteen years ago there was another Alberto-Beryl combination that wreck havoc for the Southeast. Both of the storms were tropical storms that moved out of the Gulf of Mexico into southwestern Georgia.
Alberto 94 moved inland and meandered through eastern Alabama and western Georgia for 4 days. Record floods were reported in southwestern Georgia due to the incredible rains. Americus, GA recorded 27+ inches of rain for the highest total.
Beryl 94 followed about 5 weeks later and moved into southern Georgia. It briefly stalled before resuming a north-northeast path. This took the center of the low pressure system across the western Carolinas. Flooding was anticipated for the Midlands, but Mother Nature had other ideas. From 11:30 a.m. to 7:30 p.m. there were 29 tornadoes reported across South Carolina. Six of the tornadoes were in Lexington county, South Carolina, where 37 were injured. It was the largest outbreak of tornadoes in South Carolina up to that time (this was broken in 2004).
So what can we expect from Beryl 2012? The center will likely move northeast on Tuesday bringing heavy rains to the coastal plain. How far inland that occurs is still in question, but it will likely cause some flooding near the coast. There will still be the threat of isolated tornadoes as it moves along the coast.